3G is not a cover

With several major 3G operator's specific position on the Chinese 3G start-up idea has become increasingly clear, up to now, China has already launched 3G into the basic facts, then we need to explore is how a previous law, how to send license , operators on how the layout.

In fact, the topic of the 3G I have talked a lot, and the reason turned out one more time again, is to see a lot of comments recently out of which more representative is: According to China Mobile's 3G development ideas, even if its to build TD-SCDMA network equipment vendors may be difficult to get short-term relatively large income; In addition, some people think that China Mobile has recently launched upgrade EDGE and TD may have conflicts.

For these remarks, I would like on to the next one of my basic viewpoints: from the present perspective, skip the 3G De Xiang Fa yes impossible, WiMax 绛?technology is difficult to enter the market short-term Huan mainstream, Gang Gang I am in a blog 涓?Yijingxiangxi expounded on this point, 4G technologies such as standardization is not clear, but industrialization is take a long time, in this based on the 3G launch has become inevitable.

In addition, I would like to stress that the input is on the 3G, this is equipment manufacturers are most concerned about the global 3G long-term slump, a large number of major equipment manufacturers have invested in 3G at a lot of money, after the update has made the rapid 3G equipment manufacturers must continue to invest, which is able to eventually recover input costs, the only way to 3G, so in the evolution of 3G technology, the equipment manufacturers to upgrade to a passive race.

Recently, China Mobile boss Wang on the 2G network to rely on local building 3G networks think so many people worried, 3G investment in the end is there? I think this is not necessary to worry about, according to Wang's idea, through the transformation of 2G 3G core network to achieve a shared purpose and, in fact, this attitude is one thing to be happy, description, led by China Mobile China 3G war is likely to be staged in advance, while in the long ago, China Mobile is also non-public Xing said it would consider upgrading nationwide EDGE, equipment manufacturers from this progressive strategy to move benefit, because the quick success of the entire pie is no good 3G, 3G pie made the larger, individual cake higher interest.

In addition, there is no escaping the fact that, at present it from the network construction cost, there is a polarization of the situation, it is said very little, a few hundred million people say a lot, to hundreds of billions. In fact, these figures are correct, the key to it is not at once put into the. Network construction costs from the point of view, including two wireless networks and most of the core network, including wireless network investment in basic accounting for about 75%, even if the 2G operators to transform the core network and location, resources, and a large number of inputs is also necessary .

From the above, I think that China's 3G is not a cover, it is hard cash to prop up the market, hold and cultivate the market demand will benefit operators, equipment manufacturers will be assigned to the of that one. But, the 3G, should also include a 2.5G, 2.75G and 3G market after.

Data from the current Chinese market demands, large market demand for 3G has not formed, 3G licensing policy has not yet enacted, in this case, before the development of 3G technology will be the main force, and in possession of a very long time substantial part of the share, such as moving from GPRS to EDGE in the transition; the former is bound to promote the development of 3G, 3G directness back forward, but you can not deny that they are 3G.

A month ago, I wrote a chapter blog: 3G narrowly on the interests of China telecommunications market, now look, this line of thinking is the need of our operators and equipment manufacturers to think carefully, and only a narrow 3G excluding simple argument, a comprehensive understanding of 3G meaning, can be better to guide and nurture the market may be in a very long period of time, we do not find the killer application of 3G.






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